Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Daniel Altmaier
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 67.57%1.48fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +5.07%
Kelly +13.52%
Growth +1.10%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%67.52%67.22%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.371.361.6078.74%73.16%73.53%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visit)
Prediction 32.43%3.08fair odd
EV +22.58%
Edge +5.97%
Kelly +8.12%
Growth +1.83%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%32.48%32.78%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.303.063.053.7843.48%32.71%32.79%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 67.57%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 32.43%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +22.58%E +5.97%K +8.12%G +1.83% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:52 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +15.12%E +4.26%K +5.93%G +0.897% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +14.48%E +4.10%K +5.72%G +0.828% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +12.21%E +3.53%K +4.96%G +0.606% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.86%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.14%EV +10.58%E +3.10%K +4.39%G +0.465% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.77%E +1.18%K +1.72%G +0.065% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 16:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 16:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -0.671%E -0.457%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -1.35%E -0.923%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -12.76%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.36%E +0.904%K +2.71%G +0.037% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.68%E -6.03%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +3.38%E +2.21%K +6.38%G +0.216% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -22.17%E -9.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +8.11%E +5.07%K +13.52%G +1.10% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -25.41%E -11.05%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |