مدرسة الاحتمالات

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Daniel Altmaier

البداية: 2026-05-26 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.57%1.48السعر العادل
EV +8.11%
الأفضلية +5.07%
Kelly +13.52%
النمو +1.10%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.97%67.52%67.22%74.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.371.361.6078.74%73.16%73.53%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniel Altmaier (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.43%3.08السعر العادل
EV +22.58%
الأفضلية +5.97%
Kelly +8.12%
النمو +1.83%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.15%32.48%32.78%41.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.303.063.053.7843.48%32.71%32.79%26.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +22.58%E +5.97%K +8.12%G +1.83%5.2%2026-05-26 16:52
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +15.12%E +4.26%K +5.93%G +0.897%5.1%2026-05-26 16:39
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +14.48%E +4.10%K +5.72%G +0.828%4.7%2026-05-26 16:40
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729%4.3%2026-05-26 16:39
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729%5.5%2026-05-26 17:00
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +12.21%E +3.53%K +4.96%G +0.606%3.0%2026-05-26 16:40
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576%4.7%2026-05-26 16:40
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576%5.3%2026-05-26 16:50
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576%5.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576%5.9%2026-05-26 16:50
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576%5.9%2026-05-26 16:54
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.86%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.14%EV +10.58%E +3.10%K +4.39%G +0.465%8.1%2026-05-26 16:40
BetAnything1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439%4.0%2026-05-26 16:44
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439%6.3%2026-05-26 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318%5.6%2026-05-26 16:40
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318%5.6%2026-05-26 16:40
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214%5.5%2026-05-26 16:44
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214%5.5%2026-05-26 16:40
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214%5.5%2026-05-26 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196%3.9%2026-05-26 16:40
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196%3.9%2026-05-26 16:39
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.77%E +1.18%K +1.72%G +0.065%6.4%2026-05-26 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001%3.7%2026-05-26 17:00
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001%5.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001%5.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001%5.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001%5.8%2026-05-26 17:00
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001%6.3%2026-05-26 17:00
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 17:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 17:00
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 17:00
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 17:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 16:58
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:00
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 17:00
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:00
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 17:00
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 17:00
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 17:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 17:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 17:00
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 17:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 17:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 17:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-26 17:00
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -0.671%E -0.457%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-26 17:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -1.35%E -0.923%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -12.76%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 16:59
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.36%E +0.904%K +2.71%G +0.037%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.68%E -6.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +3.38%E +2.21%K +6.38%G +0.216%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -22.17%E -9.24%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:59
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +8.11%E +5.07%K +13.52%G +1.10%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -25.41%E -11.05%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-26 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-05-26 17:00
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-05-26 17:00
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-05-26 17:00
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%6.9%2026-05-26 17:00