Langue:Français
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Daniel Altmaier
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prévision 67.57%1.48cote équitable
EV +8.11%
Avantage +5.07%
Kelly +13.52%
Croissance +1.10%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%67.52%67.22%74.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.371.361.6078.74%73.16%73.53%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.43%3.08cote équitable
EV +22.58%
Avantage +5.97%
Kelly +8.12%
Croissance +1.83%
avec la cote maximale 3.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.15%32.48%32.78%41.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.303.063.053.7843.48%32.71%32.79%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) : 67.57% ; Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur) : 32.43%. Pour Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.08. 28 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.78, soit une espérance positive de +22.58%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +22.58%E +5.97%K +8.12%G +1.83% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:52 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +15.12%E +4.26%K +5.93%G +0.897% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +14.48%E +4.10%K +5.72%G +0.828% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +12.21%E +3.53%K +4.96%G +0.606% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.86%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.14%EV +10.58%E +3.10%K +4.39%G +0.465% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.77%E +1.18%K +1.72%G +0.065% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 16:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 16:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -0.671%E -0.457%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -1.35%E -0.923%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -12.76%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.36%E +0.904%K +2.71%G +0.037% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.68%E -6.03%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +3.38%E +2.21%K +6.38%G +0.216% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -22.17%E -9.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +8.11%E +5.07%K +13.52%G +1.10% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -25.41%E -11.05%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |