La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Daniel Altmaier
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 67.57%1.48momio equitativo
EV +8.11%
Ventaja +5.07%
Kelly +13.52%
Crecimiento +1.10%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%67.52%67.22%74.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.371.361.6078.74%73.16%73.53%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Predicción 32.43%3.08momio equitativo
EV +22.58%
Ventaja +5.97%
Kelly +8.12%
Crecimiento +1.83%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.15%32.48%32.78%41.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.303.063.053.7843.48%32.71%32.79%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +22.58%E +5.97%K +8.12%G +1.83% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:52 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +15.12%E +4.26%K +5.93%G +0.897% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +14.48%E +4.10%K +5.72%G +0.828% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.50%E +3.86%K +5.40%G +0.729% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +12.21%E +3.53%K +4.96%G +0.606% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +11.88%E +3.44%K +4.85%G +0.576% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:54 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.86%EV -14.19%E -11.17%K -52.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.14%EV +10.58%E +3.10%K +4.39%G +0.465% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +10.26%E +3.02%K +4.28%G +0.439% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +8.64%E +2.58%K +3.68%G +0.318% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +7.02%E +2.13%K +3.05%G +0.214% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +6.69%E +2.03%K +2.92%G +0.196% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.77%E +1.18%K +1.72%G +0.065% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +0.531%E +0.171%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 16:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 16:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -0.671%E -0.457%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -1.35%E -0.923%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -12.76%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.36%E +0.904%K +2.71%G +0.037% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.68%E -6.03%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +3.38%E +2.21%K +6.38%G +0.216% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -22.17%E -9.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +8.11%E +5.07%K +13.52%G +1.10% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -25.41%E -11.05%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 17:00 |