Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Brandon Nakashima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 71.93%1.39fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -8.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.97%72.19%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.331.3580.00%75.66%75.19%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visit)
Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.675%
Kelly +0.930%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%28.03%27.81%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.65%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 71.93%; Brandon Nakashima (Visit): 28.07%. For Brandon Nakashima (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.46%E +0.675%K +0.930%G +0.023% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 18:36 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.09%E -8.07%K -40.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.43%E -0.997%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 18:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 18:28 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.21%E -5.59%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 18:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |