A Escola das Odds

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Brandon Nakashima

Início: 2026-05-30 18:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Previsão 71.93%1.39odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -2.15%
Kelly -8.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%71.97%72.19%74.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.331.3580.00%75.66%75.19%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Brandon Nakashima (Visitante)

Previsão 28.07%3.56odd justa
EV +2.46%
Vantagem +0.675%
Kelly +0.930%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.77%28.03%27.81%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.65%29.85%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.46%E +0.675%K +0.930%G +0.023%4.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%4.1%2026-05-30 18:36
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.09%E -8.07%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%7.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 18:40
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:40
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.43%E -0.997%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:40
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:38
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:40
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:28
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.21%E -5.59%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:40
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:29
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:29
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:40
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:40
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 18:29
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:29
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%2.3%2026-05-30 18:40