مدرسة الاحتمالات

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Brandon Nakashima

البداية: 2026-05-30 18:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.93%1.39السعر العادل
EV -2.90%
الأفضلية -2.15%
Kelly -8.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.98%71.97%72.19%74.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.321.331.3580.00%75.66%75.19%74.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Brandon Nakashima (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.07%3.56السعر العادل
EV +2.46%
الأفضلية +0.675%
Kelly +0.930%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.77%28.03%27.81%30.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.65%29.85%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.46%E +0.675%K +0.930%G +0.023%4.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%4.1%2026-05-30 18:36
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.09%E -8.07%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%7.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 18:40
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:40
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.43%E -0.997%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:40
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:38
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:40
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:28
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.21%E -5.59%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:40
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:29
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:29
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:40
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:40
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 18:29
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:29
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%2.3%2026-05-30 18:40