StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Brandon Nakashima

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-30 18:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Heim)

Prognose 71.93%1.39faire Quote
EV -2.90%
Vorteil -2.15%
Kelly -8.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.98%71.97%72.19%74.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.321.331.3580.00%75.66%75.19%74.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.07%3.56faire Quote
EV +2.46%
Vorteil +0.675%
Kelly +0.930%
Wachstum +0.023%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.77%28.03%27.81%30.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.65%29.85%27.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Heim): 71.93%; Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts): 28.07%. Für Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.56. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.65 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.46%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.46%E +0.675%K +0.930%G +0.023%4.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%4.1%2026-05-30 18:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.09%E -8.07%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.408%G +0.004%7.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.342%E -0.096%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.15%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.43%E -0.997%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:28
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.21%E -5.59%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:40
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:29
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.90%E -2.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 18:29
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:40
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.62%E -2.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.49%E -5.00%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%2.3%2026-05-30 18:40