Language:English
Facundo Diaz Acosta v Zhizhen Zhang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local)
Prediction 70.78%1.41fair odd
EV +0.502%
Edge +0.353%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.72%70.76%73.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.341.4278.74%74.67%74.63%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zhizhen Zhang (Visit)
Prediction 29.22%3.42fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.653%
Kelly +0.914%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%29.28%29.24%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.203.5034.48%31.37%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local): 70.78%; Zhizhen Zhang (Visit): 29.22%. For Zhizhen Zhang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.28%E +0.653%K +0.914%G +0.021% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV +0.531%E +0.154%K +0.218%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 11:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 11:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.04%E -2.22%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.07%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 11:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -7.65%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 11:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV +0.502%E +0.353%K +1.19%G +0.006% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -9.70%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 11:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.41%E -7.35%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.70%E -6.74%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.79%E -4.67%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.25%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-05-26 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |