La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Facundo Diaz Acosta v Zhizhen Zhang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local)
Predicción 70.78%1.41momio equitativo
EV +0.502%
Ventaja +0.353%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%70.72%70.76%73.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.341.341.4278.74%74.67%74.63%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zhizhen Zhang (Visitante)
Predicción 29.22%3.42momio equitativo
EV +2.28%
Ventaja +0.653%
Kelly +0.914%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.62%29.28%29.24%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.193.203.5034.48%31.37%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.28%E +0.653%K +0.914%G +0.021% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV +0.531%E +0.154%K +0.218%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 11:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 11:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.04%E -2.22%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.07%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 11:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -7.65%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 11:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV +0.502%E +0.353%K +1.19%G +0.006% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -9.70%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 11:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.41%E -7.35%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.70%E -6.74%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.79%E -4.67%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.25%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 11:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-05-26 11:30 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |