مدرسة الاحتمالات

Facundo Diaz Acosta v Zhizhen Zhang

البداية: 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Facundo Diaz Acosta (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.78%1.41السعر العادل
EV +0.502%
الأفضلية +0.353%
Kelly +1.19%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.76%70.72%70.76%73.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.341.341.4278.74%74.67%74.63%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zhizhen Zhang (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.22%3.42السعر العادل
EV +2.28%
الأفضلية +0.653%
Kelly +0.914%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.62%29.28%29.24%32.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.193.203.5034.48%31.37%31.25%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.28%E +0.653%K +0.914%G +0.021%7.3%2026-05-26 11:40
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV +0.531%E +0.154%K +0.218%G +0.001%5.4%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 11:40
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:38
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:40
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 11:39
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 11:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 11:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 11:10
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:08
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:38
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:39
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.04%E -2.22%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:38
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:39
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 11:40
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:29
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.07%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 11:29
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -7.65%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:08
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:10
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:40
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-26 11:40
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV +0.502%E +0.353%K +1.19%G +0.006%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -9.70%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 11:40
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:10
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 11:28
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.41%E -7.35%K -33.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-26 11:40
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.70%E -6.74%K -30.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.79%E -4.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 11:40
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.25%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-05-26 11:30
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%2.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-05-26 11:40