La scuola delle quote

Facundo Diaz Acosta v Zhizhen Zhang

Inizio: 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Facundo Diaz Acosta (Casa)

Previsione 70.78%1.41quota equa
EV +0.502%
Vantaggio +0.353%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.76%70.72%70.76%73.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.341.341.4278.74%74.67%74.63%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zhizhen Zhang (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.22%3.42quota equa
EV +2.28%
Vantaggio +0.653%
Kelly +0.914%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.62%29.28%29.24%32.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.193.203.5034.48%31.37%31.25%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.28%E +0.653%K +0.914%G +0.021%7.3%2026-05-26 11:40
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV +0.531%E +0.154%K +0.218%G +0.001%5.4%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 11:40
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.638%E -0.188%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:38
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:40
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 11:39
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 11:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 11:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.11%E -7.96%K -37.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 11:10
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:08
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:38
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:39
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.04%E -2.22%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:38
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:39
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 11:40
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:29
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.07%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 11:29
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -7.65%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:08
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:10
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:40
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:40
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.99%E -6.15%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.41%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-26 11:40
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV +0.502%E +0.353%K +1.19%G +0.006%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -9.70%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.58%E -4.98%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 11:40
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:10
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.914%E -0.653%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.87%E -4.41%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 11:28
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.41%E -7.35%K -33.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-26 11:40
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.70%E -6.74%K -30.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.79%E -4.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 11:40
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.25%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-26 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-05-26 11:30
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%2.9%2026-05-26 11:40
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-05-26 11:40