A Escola das Odds

Emilio Nava v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Início: 2026-05-25 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Emilio Nava (Local)

Previsão 49.97%2.00odd justa
EV +2.43%
Vantagem +1.19%
Kelly +2.32%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%49.92%50.00%51.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.931.912.0554.64%51.88%52.36%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visitante)

Previsão 50.03%2.00odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.08%50.00%53.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.861.881.9559.52%53.87%53.19%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.43%E +1.19%K +2.32%G +0.056%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.44%E -6.46%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 12:59
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.934%E +0.462%K +0.916%G +0.009%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.94%E -4.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:59
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 12:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -1.56%E -0.794%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -13.44%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 13:00
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -13.94%E -8.11%K -19.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-25 13:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 12:57
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.94%E -2.05%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 13:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:54
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 12:55
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.94%E -4.32%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:53
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 13:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:55
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -15.95%E -9.49%K -23.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 12:59
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 13:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 13:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:59
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 13:00
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:00
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:55
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:56
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:55
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:00
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:58
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 12:54
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 12:54
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:54
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:59
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 12:53
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-25 13:00
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-05-25 13:00