Szkoła Kursów

Emilio Nava v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Początek: 2026-05-25 14:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Emilio Nava (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.97%2.00kurs godziwy
EV +2.43%
Przewaga +1.19%
Kelly +2.32%
Wzrost +0.056%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.34%49.92%50.00%51.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.831.931.912.0554.64%51.88%52.36%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Goście)

Prognoza 50.03%2.00kurs godziwy
EV -2.44%
Przewaga -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.41%50.08%50.00%53.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.861.881.9559.52%53.87%53.19%51.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.43%E +1.19%K +2.32%G +0.056%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.44%E -6.46%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 12:59
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.934%E +0.462%K +0.916%G +0.009%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.94%E -4.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:59
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 12:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -1.56%E -0.794%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -13.44%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 13:00
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -13.94%E -8.11%K -19.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-25 13:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 12:57
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.94%E -2.05%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 13:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:54
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 12:55
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.94%E -4.32%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:53
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 13:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:55
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -15.95%E -9.49%K -23.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 12:59
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 13:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 13:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:59
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 13:00
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:00
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:55
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:56
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:55
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:00
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:58
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 12:54
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 12:54
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:54
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:59
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 12:53
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-25 13:00
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-05-25 13:00