L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Emilio Nava v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Emilio Nava (Local)
Prévision 49.97%2.00cote équitable
EV +2.43%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +2.32%
Croissance +0.056%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%49.92%50.00%51.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.912.0554.64%51.88%52.36%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.03%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%50.08%50.00%53.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.861.881.9559.52%53.87%53.19%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.43%E +1.19%K +2.32%G +0.056% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.44%E -6.46%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.934%E +0.462%K +0.916%G +0.009% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.94%E -4.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -1.56%E -0.794%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -13.44%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -13.94%E -8.11%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 12:57 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.94%E -2.05%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| GTbets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.94%E -4.32%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 12:53 |
| DraftKings | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -15.95%E -9.49%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:56 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Everygame | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 12:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 12:53 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Novig | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |