Die Wettquotenschule

Emilio Nava v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-25 14:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Emilio Nava (Heim)

Prognose 49.97%2.00faire Quote
EV +2.43%
Vorteil +1.19%
Kelly +2.32%
Wachstum +0.056%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.34%49.92%50.00%51.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.831.931.912.0554.64%51.88%52.36%48.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Auswärts)

Prognose 50.03%2.00faire Quote
EV -2.44%
Vorteil -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.41%50.08%50.00%53.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.681.861.881.9559.52%53.87%53.19%51.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.43%E +1.19%K +2.32%G +0.056%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.44%E -6.46%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:00
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 12:59
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.934%E +0.462%K +0.916%G +0.009%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.94%E -4.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:59
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 12:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -1.56%E -0.794%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -13.44%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 13:00
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -13.94%E -8.11%K -19.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-25 13:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 12:57
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.94%E -2.05%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 13:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:54
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 12:55
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.94%E -4.32%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:53
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:00
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 13:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:55
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -15.95%E -9.49%K -23.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 12:59
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 13:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 13:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:59
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 13:00
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:00
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:55
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:56
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:55
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:00
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 12:58
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 12:54
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 12:54
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:54
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:59
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 12:53
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-25 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-25 13:00
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-05-25 13:00
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-05-25 13:00