Lingua:Italiano
Emilio Nava v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Emilio Nava (Casa)
Previsione 49.97%2.00quota equa
EV +2.43%
Vantaggio +1.19%
Kelly +2.32%
Crescita +0.056%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.34%49.92%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.931.912.0554.64%51.88%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Trasferta)
Previsione 50.03%2.00quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.41%50.08%50.00%53.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.861.881.9559.52%53.87%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Emilio Nava (Casa): 49.97%; Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Trasferta): 50.03%. Per Emilio Nava (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.00. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.43%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.43%E +1.19%K +2.32%G +0.056% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.44%E -6.46%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.93%E +0.948%K +1.86%G +0.036% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.94%E -6.15%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.934%E +0.462%K +0.916%G +0.009% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.94%E -4.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.065%E -0.033%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -1.56%E -0.794%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -13.44%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -13.94%E -8.11%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 12:57 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.94%E -2.05%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.94%E -4.32%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 12:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.06%E -1.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -3.56%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -15.95%E -9.49%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.56%E -2.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.06%E -2.66%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.88%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.56%E -2.94%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.22%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 12:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.94%E -2.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.94%E -3.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.56%E -4.09%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.44%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.44%E -2.32%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.44%E -3.44%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 12:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 13:00 |