Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Eliot Spizzirri v Frances Tiafoe

Início: 2026-05-25 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Eliot Spizzirri (Local)

Previsão 11.69%8.56odd justa
EV +40.26%
Vantagem +3.36%
Kelly +3.66%
Crescimento +1.47%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.90%11.44%11.80%13.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.758.448.5012.0014.81%11.85%11.76%8.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 88.31%1.13odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -3.43%
Kelly -41.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.21%88.56%88.20%92.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.80%93.46%91.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Eliot Spizzirri (Local): 11.69%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 88.31%. Para Eliot Spizzirri (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.56. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 12.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +40.26%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +40.26%E +3.36%K +3.66%G +1.47%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:53
FanDuel🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +26.24%E +2.43%K +2.68%G +0.702%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:00
MyBookie.ag🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +7.53%E +0.819%K +0.919%G +0.069%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:50
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
NetBet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 10:51
TAB🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:00
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +4.96%E +0.553%K +0.622%G +0.031%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:59
DraftKings🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV +4.03%E +0.453%K +0.510%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Pinnacle🎯8.84I 11.31%NM 10.89%EV +3.33%E +0.376%K +0.424%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.11%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +2.27%E +0.260%K +0.294%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 11:00
GTbets🎯8.62I 11.60%NM 11.23%EV +0.755%E +0.088%K +0.099%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.77%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 10:49
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 10:58
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:59
Fliff🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.13%EV -2.99%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 10:58
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:00
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:55
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Coolbet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:58
Everygame🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:54
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 11:00
Fanatics🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -14.67%E -2.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
Betsson🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
NordicBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -15.84%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -21.10%E -3.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 10:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Matchbook9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-05-25 11:00
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Novig9.01I 11.10%NM 10.70%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.30%3.7%2026-05-25 11:00