La scuola delle quote

Eliot Spizzirri v Frances Tiafoe

Inizio: 2026-05-25 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Eliot Spizzirri (Casa)

Previsione 11.69%8.56quota equa
EV +40.26%
Vantaggio +3.36%
Kelly +3.66%
Crescita +1.47%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.90%11.44%11.80%13.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.758.448.5012.0014.81%11.85%11.76%8.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)

Previsione 88.31%1.13quota equa
EV -3.74%
Vantaggio -3.43%
Kelly -41.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
86.21%88.56%88.20%92.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.80%93.46%91.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +40.26%E +3.36%K +3.66%G +1.47%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:53
FanDuel10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +26.24%E +2.43%K +2.68%G +0.702%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:00
BetOnline.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
LowVig.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:00
MyBookie.ag9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +7.53%E +0.819%K +0.919%G +0.069%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:54
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:50
888sport9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
NetBet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 10:51
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:00
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +4.96%E +0.553%K +0.622%G +0.031%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:59
DraftKings8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV +4.03%E +0.453%K +0.510%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Pinnacle8.84I 11.31%NM 10.89%EV +3.33%E +0.376%K +0.424%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.11%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +2.27%E +0.260%K +0.294%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 11:00
GTbets8.62I 11.60%NM 11.23%EV +0.755%E +0.088%K +0.099%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.77%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 10:49
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 10:58
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:59
Fliff8.30I 12.05%NM 11.13%EV -2.99%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 10:58
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:00
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:55
Neds8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:56
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:58
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:54
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 11:00
Fanatics7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -14.67%E -2.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
Betsson7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
NordicBet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
theScore Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -15.84%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:00
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:00
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 11:00
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -21.10%E -3.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 10:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Matchbook9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-05-25 11:00
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Novig9.01I 11.10%NM 10.70%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.30%3.7%2026-05-25 11:00