Idioma:Español
Eliot Spizzirri v Frances Tiafoe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Eliot Spizzirri (Local)
Predicción 11.69%8.56momio equitativo
EV +40.26%
Ventaja +3.36%
Kelly +3.66%
Crecimiento +1.47%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.90%11.44%11.80%13.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.758.448.5012.0014.81%11.85%11.76%8.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 88.31%1.13momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -3.43%
Kelly -41.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.21%88.56%88.20%92.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.80%93.46%91.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Eliot Spizzirri (Local): 11.69%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 88.31%. Para Eliot Spizzirri (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.56. 19 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 12.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +40.26%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +40.26%E +3.36%K +3.66%G +1.47% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 10:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +26.24%E +2.43%K +2.68%G +0.702% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +7.53%E +0.819%K +0.919%G +0.069% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 10:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +4.96%E +0.553%K +0.622%G +0.031% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV +4.03%E +0.453%K +0.510%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.84I 11.31%NM 10.89%EV +3.33%E +0.376%K +0.424%G +0.014% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.11%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +2.27%E +0.260%K +0.294%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.62I 11.60%NM 11.23%EV +0.755%E +0.088%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.77%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 10:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.13%EV -2.99%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 10:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 10:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 10:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 10:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -14.67%E -2.01%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -15.84%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -21.10%E -3.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 10:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.70% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.30% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |