مدرسة الاحتمالات

Eliot Spizzirri v Frances Tiafoe

البداية: 2026-05-25 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Eliot Spizzirri (المضيف)

التنبؤ 11.69%8.56السعر العادل
EV +40.26%
الأفضلية +3.36%
Kelly +3.66%
النمو +1.47%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.90%11.44%11.80%13.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.758.448.5012.0014.81%11.85%11.76%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Frances Tiafoe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 88.31%1.13السعر العادل
EV -3.74%
الأفضلية -3.43%
Kelly -41.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
86.21%88.56%88.20%92.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.80%93.46%91.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +40.26%E +3.36%K +3.66%G +1.47%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:53
FanDuel10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +26.24%E +2.43%K +2.68%G +0.702%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:00
BetOnline.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
LowVig.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +26.00%E +2.41%K +2.66%G +0.691%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.89%E +1.69%K +1.88%G +0.317%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:00
MyBookie.ag9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +7.53%E +0.819%K +0.919%G +0.069%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:54
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:50
888sport9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:00
NetBet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 10:51
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +5.20%E +0.577%K +0.650%G +0.034%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:00
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +4.96%E +0.553%K +0.622%G +0.031%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:59
DraftKings8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82%EV +4.03%E +0.453%K +0.510%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Pinnacle8.84I 11.31%NM 10.89%EV +3.33%E +0.376%K +0.424%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.11%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +2.27%E +0.260%K +0.294%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 11:00
GTbets8.62I 11.60%NM 11.23%EV +0.755%E +0.088%K +0.099%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.77%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 10:49
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 10:58
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:50
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.647%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:59
Fliff8.30I 12.05%NM 11.13%EV -2.99%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -8.16%E -7.84%K -203.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 10:58
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:00
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:55
Neds8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:56
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:00
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.49%E -0.811%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:58
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:54
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:00
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.34%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.27%E -6.93%K -145.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 11:00
Fanatics7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -14.67%E -2.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:00
Betsson7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
NordicBet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.26%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
theScore Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -15.84%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:00
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:00
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -18.18%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -9.04%E -8.78%K -301.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 11:00
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -21.10%E -3.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -4.62%E -4.28%K -57.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 10:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-05-25 11:00
Matchbook9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-05-25 11:00
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-25 11:00
Novig9.01I 11.10%NM 10.70%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.30%3.7%2026-05-25 11:00