A Escola das Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-05-25 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)

Previsão 15.74%6.35odd justa
EV +35.37%
Vantagem +4.11%
Kelly +4.65%
Crescimento +1.65%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.16%16.91%14.78%25.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.755.435.608.6026.67%18.41%17.86%11.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 84.26%1.19odd justa
EV +8.70%
Vantagem +6.74%
Kelly +29.98%
Crescimento +2.61%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.85%83.09%85.22%88.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.061.161.131.2994.34%86.33%88.50%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV +8.70%E +6.74%K +29.98%G +2.61%3.0%2026-05-25 16:19
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82%4.1%2026-05-25 16:29
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82%5.1%2026-05-25 16:18
Pinnacle4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -33.73%E -8.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46%3.1%2026-05-25 16:30
1xBet3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -37.98%E -9.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46%4.7%2026-05-25 16:30
MyBookie.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -38.61%E -9.90%K -13.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46%5.0%2026-05-25 16:29
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46%5.3%2026-05-25 16:27
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46%6.0%2026-05-25 16:26
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46%6.0%2026-05-25 16:26
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13%5.0%2026-05-25 16:30
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13%5.0%2026-05-25 16:29
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13%5.0%2026-05-25 16:29
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13%5.3%2026-05-25 16:16
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13%5.5%2026-05-25 16:29
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13%6.0%2026-05-25 16:27
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13%6.3%2026-05-25 16:22
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -33.89%E -8.07%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837%4.5%2026-05-25 16:29
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837%5.0%2026-05-25 16:25
LowVig.ag4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -31.22%E -7.14%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576%4.2%2026-05-25 16:30
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576%6.3%2026-05-25 16:29
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV +2.80%E +2.29%K +12.71%G +0.356%6.4%2026-05-25 16:31
BetOnline.ag4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -27.44%E -5.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV +1.95%E +1.62%K +9.31%G +0.182%4.3%2026-05-25 16:32
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 16:39
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 16:40
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 16:39
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 16:39
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 16:40
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.00%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 16:40
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 16:40
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:40
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 16:39
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -16.58%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 16:40
Fanatics6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +5.46%E +0.815%K +0.958%G +0.052%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 16:40
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 16:40
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 16:37
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +18.05%E +2.41%K +2.78%G +0.501%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 16:40
NordicBet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Betsson6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:40
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -1.62%E -0.260%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 16:40
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 16:40
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:38
PMU (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 16:40
DraftKings8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +35.37%E +4.11%K +4.65%G +1.65%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 16:40
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 16:40
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 16:40
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 16:40
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 16:40
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 16:40
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 16:40
Fliff6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -2.41%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.84%E -9.20%K -140.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.68%E -10.08%K -178.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-25 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%1.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Smarkets9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%2.9%2026-05-25 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%4.0%2026-05-25 16:40
Novig7.94I 12.59%NM 11.48%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.52%9.7%2026-05-25 16:40