La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Predicción 15.74%6.35momio equitativo
EV +35.37%
Ventaja +4.11%
Kelly +4.65%
Crecimiento +1.65%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.16%16.91%14.78%25.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.755.435.608.6026.67%18.41%17.86%11.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 84.26%1.19momio equitativo
EV +8.70%
Ventaja +6.74%
Kelly +29.98%
Crecimiento +2.61%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.85%83.09%85.22%88.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.161.131.2994.34%86.33%88.50%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV +8.70%E +6.74%K +29.98%G +2.61% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 16:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:18 |
| Pinnacle | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -33.73%E -8.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -37.98%E -9.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -38.61%E -9.90%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:26 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:26 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:27 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:22 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -33.89%E -8.07%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -31.22%E -7.14%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV +2.80%E +2.29%K +12.71%G +0.356% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -27.44%E -5.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV +1.95%E +1.62%K +9.31%G +0.182% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:32 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Unibet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| betPARX | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.00%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -16.58%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +5.46%E +0.815%K +0.958%G +0.052% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +18.05%E +2.41%K +2.78%G +0.501% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betsson | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -1.62%E -0.260%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| DraftKings | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +35.37%E +4.11%K +4.65%G +1.65% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bet Victor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Fliff | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -2.41%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.84%E -9.20%K -140.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.68%E -10.08%K -178.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Novig | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.48% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.52% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |