مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Ben Shelton
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف)
التنبؤ 15.74%6.35السعر العادل
EV +35.37%
الأفضلية +4.11%
Kelly +4.65%
النمو +1.65%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.60
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.16%16.91%14.78%25.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.755.435.608.6026.67%18.41%17.86%11.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Ben Shelton (الضيف)
التنبؤ 84.26%1.19السعر العادل
EV +8.70%
الأفضلية +6.74%
Kelly +29.98%
النمو +2.61%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.85%83.09%85.22%88.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.061.161.131.2994.34%86.33%88.50%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV +8.70%E +6.74%K +29.98%G +2.61% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 16:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:18 |
| Pinnacle | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -33.73%E -8.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -37.98%E -9.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -38.61%E -9.90%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:26 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:26 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:27 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:22 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -33.89%E -8.07%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -31.22%E -7.14%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV +2.80%E +2.29%K +12.71%G +0.356% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -27.44%E -5.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV +1.95%E +1.62%K +9.31%G +0.182% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:32 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Unibet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| betPARX | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.00%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -16.58%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +5.46%E +0.815%K +0.958%G +0.052% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +18.05%E +2.41%K +2.78%G +0.501% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betsson | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -1.62%E -0.260%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| DraftKings | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +35.37%E +4.11%K +4.65%G +1.65% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bet Victor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Fliff | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -2.41%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.84%E -9.20%K -140.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.68%E -10.08%K -178.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Novig | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.48% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.52% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |