Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Ben Shelton
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 15.74%6.35kurs godziwy
EV +35.37%
Przewaga +4.11%
Kelly +4.65%
Wzrost +1.65%
przy maksymalnym kursie 8.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.16%16.91%14.78%25.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.755.435.608.6026.67%18.41%17.86%11.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Ben Shelton (Goście)
Prognoza 84.26%1.19kurs godziwy
EV +8.70%
Przewaga +6.74%
Kelly +29.98%
Wzrost +2.61%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.85%83.09%85.22%88.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.061.161.131.2994.34%86.33%88.50%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV +8.70%E +6.74%K +29.98%G +2.61% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 16:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +7.01%E +5.52%K +25.96%G +1.82% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:18 |
| Pinnacle | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -33.73%E -8.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -37.98%E -9.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -38.61%E -9.90%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:26 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -40.97%E -10.93%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV +6.17%E +4.89%K +23.72%G +1.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:26 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -37.83%E -9.58%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -38.30%E -9.77%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -39.40%E -10.23%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:27 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -40.19%E -10.58%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +5.32%E +4.26%K +21.30%G +1.13% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:22 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -33.89%E -8.07%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +4.48%E +3.61%K +18.68%G +0.837% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -31.22%E -7.14%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -37.04%E -9.26%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV +3.64%E +2.96%K +15.82%G +0.576% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -35.47%E -8.65%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV +2.80%E +2.29%K +12.71%G +0.356% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -27.44%E -5.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV +1.95%E +1.62%K +9.31%G +0.182% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:32 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.10%E -2.70%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.49%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| Unibet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| betPARX | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.00%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.43%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -16.58%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +5.46%E +0.815%K +0.958%G +0.052% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -11.85%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +18.05%E +2.41%K +2.78%G +0.501% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betsson | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +6.25%E +0.925%K +1.09%G +0.068% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -1.62%E -0.260%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.56%E -0.926%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.31%E -6.65%K -73.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 16:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -17.36%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -8.16%E -7.48%K -90.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| DraftKings | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +35.37%E +4.11%K +4.65%G +1.65% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Bet Victor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Fliff | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -2.41%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -9.00%E -8.33%K -112.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +10.18%E +1.45%K +1.70%G +0.173% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.84%E -9.20%K -140.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +2.31%E +0.356%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.68%E -10.08%K -178.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Novig | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.48% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.52% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |