Language:English
Casper Ruud v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prediction 73.02%1.37fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -8.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%72.97%73.05%74.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.311.3378.13%76.39%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.312%
Kelly +0.426%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.03%26.95%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.473.7530.77%28.78%28.82%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casper Ruud (Local): 73.02%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 26.98%. For Tommy Paul (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.17%E +0.312%K +0.426%G +0.005% | 3.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -2.34%E -0.646%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 16:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:17 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:16 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:17 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:17 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:16 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 16:17 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 16:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.08% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.92% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 16:20 |