La scuola delle quote

Casper Ruud v Tommy Paul

Inizio: 2026-05-29 16:28 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Casper Ruud (Casa)

Previsione 73.02%1.37quota equa
EV -2.88%
Vantaggio -2.17%
Kelly -8.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.43%72.97%73.05%74.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.311.311.3378.13%76.39%76.34%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tommy Paul (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.98%3.71quota equa
EV +1.17%
Vantaggio +0.312%
Kelly +0.426%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.74%27.03%26.95%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.473.473.7530.77%28.78%28.82%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.17%E +0.312%K +0.426%G +0.005%3.6%2026-05-29 16:19
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -2.34%E -0.646%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:19
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:20
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:16
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:20
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:19
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:20
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 16:19
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 16:19
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:20
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:20
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:19
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:20
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:20
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:20
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:19
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:19
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:19
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:17
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 74.08%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.92%0.7%2026-05-29 16:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-29 16:20