StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud v Tommy Paul

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-29 16:28 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud (Heim)

Prognose 73.02%1.37faire Quote
EV -2.88%
Vorteil -2.17%
Kelly -8.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.43%72.97%73.05%74.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.281.311.311.3378.13%76.39%76.34%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.98%3.71faire Quote
EV +1.17%
Vorteil +0.312%
Kelly +0.426%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.74%27.03%26.95%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.473.473.7530.77%28.78%28.82%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Casper Ruud (Heim): 73.02%; Tommy Paul (Auswärts): 26.98%. Für Tommy Paul (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.71. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.17%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.17%E +0.312%K +0.426%G +0.005%3.6%2026-05-29 16:19
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -2.34%E -0.646%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:19
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:20
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:16
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:19
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:20
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:20
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:20
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:20
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:19
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:17
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 74.08%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.92%0.7%2026-05-29 16:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-29 16:20