La escuela de los momios

Casper Ruud v Tommy Paul

Inicio: 2026-05-29 16:28 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Casper Ruud (Local)

Predicción 73.02%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -8.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.43%72.97%73.05%74.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.311.311.3378.13%76.39%76.34%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Predicción 26.98%3.71momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.312%
Kelly +0.426%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%27.03%26.95%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.473.473.7530.77%28.78%28.82%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.17%E +0.312%K +0.426%G +0.005%3.6%2026-05-29 16:19
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +0.631%E +0.169%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -2.34%E -0.646%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:19
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:20
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:16
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:20
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:19
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:20
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 16:19
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 16:19
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:20
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 16:19
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:20
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:19
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:20
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:19
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:17
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:16
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:19
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 16:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 16:20
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:19
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:20
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:19
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:19
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:19
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:19
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:17
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-29 16:20
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-29 16:20
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 74.08%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.92%0.7%2026-05-29 16:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-29 16:20