Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud v Hamad Medjedovic

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 18:32 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prediction 70.11%1.43fair odd
EV -0.446%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%69.93%70.18%71.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.361.4275.19%72.98%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visit)

Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +0.921%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%30.07%29.82%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.133.103.4236.36%31.97%32.26%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.11%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visit): 29.89%. For Hamad Medjedovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +2.23%E +0.652%K +0.921%G +0.021%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.460%E -0.138%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.36%E -0.411%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.94%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 18:29
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -7.93%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:27
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.446%E -0.314%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.80%E -6.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:28