Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Hamad Medjedovic

Início: 2026-05-27 18:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 70.11%1.43odd justa
EV -0.446%
Vantagem -0.314%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.95%69.93%70.18%71.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.371.361.4275.19%72.98%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante)

Previsão 29.89%3.35odd justa
EV +2.23%
Vantagem +0.652%
Kelly +0.921%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.45%30.07%29.82%34.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.133.103.4236.36%31.97%32.26%29.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.11%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante): 29.89%. Para Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.35. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.42, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +2.23%E +0.652%K +0.921%G +0.021%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.460%E -0.138%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.36%E -0.411%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.94%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 18:29
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -7.93%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:27
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.446%E -0.314%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.80%E -6.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:28