L’École des cotes

Casper Ruud v Hamad Medjedovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 18:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prévision 70.11%1.43cote équitable
EV -0.446%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%69.93%70.18%71.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.371.361.4275.19%72.98%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.652%
Kelly +0.921%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.45%30.07%29.82%34.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.133.103.4236.36%31.97%32.26%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +2.23%E +0.652%K +0.921%G +0.021%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.460%E -0.138%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 18:30
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.36%E -0.411%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 18:30
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.94%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 18:29
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 18:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:29
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:30
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -7.93%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:27
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.446%E -0.314%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.80%E -6.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:28