Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Hamad Medjedovic

Inicio: 2026-05-27 18:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Predicción 70.11%1.43momio equitativo
EV -0.446%
Ventaja -0.314%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%69.93%70.18%71.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.361.4275.19%72.98%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante)

Predicción 29.89%3.35momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +0.921%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%30.07%29.82%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.133.103.4236.36%31.97%32.26%29.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.11%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante): 29.89%. Para Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.35. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.42, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.23%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +2.23%E +0.652%K +0.921%G +0.021%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.137%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.460%E -0.138%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.36%E -0.411%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.85%E -0.877%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.94%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 18:29
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -3.95%E -2.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -7.93%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.85%E -1.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.25%E -2.36%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.65%E -3.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.35%E -3.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.76%E -5.08%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:27
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.446%E -0.314%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.80%E -6.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-27 18:28