Language:English
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Andrey Rublev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV +5.58%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 4.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%24.16%24.22%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.854.3727.78%25.86%25.97%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 75.84%1.32fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -7.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.84%75.78%78.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.251.2981.97%79.39%79.68%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local): 24.16%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 75.84%. For Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +5.58%E +1.28%K +1.66%G +0.092% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.18%EV +1.71%E +0.407%K +0.534%G +0.009% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.82%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.264%E +0.064%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.12%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV -3.84%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.29%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 10:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 10:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 10:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |