L’École des cotes

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Andrey Rublev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 10:55 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)

Prévision 24.16%4.14cote équitable
EV +5.58%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.092%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.82%24.16%24.22%26.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.873.854.3727.78%25.86%25.97%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Andrey Rublev (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.84%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -7.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.62%75.84%75.78%78.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.251.2981.97%79.39%79.68%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +5.58%E +1.28%K +1.66%G +0.092%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 10:50
Pinnacle4.21I 23.75%NM 23.18%EV +1.71%E +0.407%K +0.534%G +0.009%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.82%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 10:50
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.264%E +0.064%K +0.084%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:49
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 10:49
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 10:49
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 10:50
MyBookie.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 10:50
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 10:46
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 10:50
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.12%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 10:50
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 10:50
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 10:50
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 10:49
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 10:50
GTbets3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV -3.84%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 10:49
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:50
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.29%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 10:43
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 10:48
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 10:49
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 10:50
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 10:49
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:49
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:50
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 10:49
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:50
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 10:49
PointsBet (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 10:49
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 10:50
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 10:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 10:50
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 10:49
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 10:49
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 10:49
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 10:49
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 10:50
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 10:50
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 10:50
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:49
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:49
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:50
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 10:50
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 10:49
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 10:50
Novig4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%3.0%2026-05-27 10:50
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%4.1%2026-05-27 10:50