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Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Andrey Rublev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.16%4.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.58%
Преимущество +1.28%
Kelly +1.66%
Рост +0.092%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.37
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.82%24.16%24.22%26.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.873.854.3727.78%25.86%25.97%22.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Andrey Rublev (Гости)
Прогноз 75.84%1.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.17%
Преимущество -1.68%
Kelly -7.47%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
73.62%75.84%75.78%78.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.261.251.2981.97%79.39%79.68%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева): 24.16%; Andrey Rublev (Гости): 75.84%. Для исхода «Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.14. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.37, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.58%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +5.58%E +1.28%K +1.66%G +0.092% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.18%EV +1.71%E +0.407%K +0.534%G +0.009% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.82%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.264%E +0.064%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.12%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV -3.84%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.29%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 10:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 10:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 10:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |