La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Andrey Rublev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Predicción 24.16%4.14momio equitativo
EV +5.58%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.092%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.82%24.16%24.22%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.873.854.3727.78%25.86%25.97%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 75.84%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -7.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%75.84%75.78%78.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.261.251.2981.97%79.39%79.68%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV +5.58%E +1.28%K +1.66%G +0.092% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.18%EV +1.71%E +0.407%K +0.534%G +0.009% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.82%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.264%E +0.064%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.12%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| GTbets | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV -3.84%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.29%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 10:43 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 10:48 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| theScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 10:44 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 10:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Novig | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 10:50 |