Language:English
Arthur Rinderknech v Matteo Berrettini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Prediction 53.59%1.87fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.61%53.62%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8358.82%56.99%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visit)
Prediction 46.41%2.15fair odd
EV +0.247%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%46.39%46.38%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.052.1651.28%48.28%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 53.59%; Matteo Berrettini (Visit): 46.41%. For Matteo Berrettini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.247%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.681%E -0.318%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 18:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.79%E -2.85%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 18:17 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |