L’École des cotes

Arthur Rinderknech v Matteo Berrettini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 18:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prévision 53.59%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.61%53.62%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.751.751.8358.82%56.99%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.41%2.15cote équitable
EV +0.247%
Avantage +0.114%
Kelly +0.213%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%46.39%46.38%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.052.1651.28%48.28%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:18
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 18:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:19
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.681%E -0.318%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-28 18:20
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:19
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:20
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 18:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:20
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 18:18
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 18:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 18:20
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 18:19
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 18:19
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:19
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:14
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 18:19
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 18:17
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 18:14
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.79%E -2.85%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 18:18
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 18:19
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 18:18
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 18:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 18:19
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 18:17
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 18:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-28 18:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-05-28 18:20