La scuola delle quote

Arthur Rinderknech v Matteo Berrettini

Inizio: 2026-05-28 18:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Casa)

Previsione 53.59%1.87quota equa
EV -1.93%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.61%53.62%55.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.751.751.8358.82%56.99%57.14%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.41%2.15quota equa
EV +0.247%
Vantaggio +0.114%
Kelly +0.213%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.16%46.39%46.38%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.072.052.1651.28%48.28%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:18
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-28 18:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 18:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:19
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.681%E -0.318%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-28 18:20
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:19
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:20
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 18:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:20
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 18:18
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 18:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 18:20
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 18:19
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 18:19
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:19
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:14
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 18:19
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 18:17
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 18:14
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.79%E -2.85%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 18:18
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 18:19
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 18:18
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 18:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 18:19
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 18:19
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 18:17
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 18:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 18:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-28 18:20
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-28 18:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-05-28 18:20