La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Rinderknech v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Predicción 53.59%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.61%53.62%55.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.751.751.8358.82%56.99%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 46.41%2.15momio equitativo
EV +0.247%
Ventaja +0.114%
Kelly +0.213%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%46.39%46.38%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.052.1651.28%48.28%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +0.247%E +0.114%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.217%E -0.101%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.681%E -0.318%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.90%E -5.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -1.61%E -0.759%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -3.93%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.00%E -1.66%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 18:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 18:17 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.79%E -2.85%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 18:18 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.75%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.21%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 18:17 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 18:14 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.50%E -4.87%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 18:20 |