Language:English
Alexander Shevchenko v Alex Michelsen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Shevchenko (Local)
Prediction 38.80%2.58fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.686%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.74%38.80%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.452.5543.48%40.50%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Visit)
Prediction 61.20%1.63fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%61.26%61.20%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.6166.67%64.82%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 38.80%; Alex Michelsen (Visit): 61.20%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 08:57 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 08:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.52%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -1.47%E -0.910%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.76%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41% | 2.7% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |