Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Shevchenko v Alex Michelsen

Início: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Previsão 38.80%2.58odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.417%
Kelly -0.686%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%38.74%38.80%40.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.472.452.5543.48%40.50%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alex Michelsen (Visitante)

Previsão 61.20%1.63odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.910%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.13%61.26%61.20%62.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.541.541.6166.67%64.82%64.94%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 38.80%; Alex Michelsen (Visitante): 61.20%. Para Alexander Shevchenko (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.58. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.55, com valor esperado de -1.06%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 08:57
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:59
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 09:00
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 08:55
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:56
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:59
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 09:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.52%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 08:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:00
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:58
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 08:59
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -1.47%E -0.910%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 08:59
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:58
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 09:00
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.76%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 08:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Novig2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%2.7%2026-05-25 09:00