L’École des cotes

Alexander Shevchenko v Alex Michelsen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prévision 38.80%2.58cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -0.686%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.74%38.80%40.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.472.452.5543.48%40.50%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.20%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%61.26%61.20%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.541.6166.67%64.82%64.94%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 08:57
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:59
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 09:00
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 08:55
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:56
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 09:00
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 09:00
MyBookie.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.52%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 08:59
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:00
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:58
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 08:59
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -1.47%E -0.910%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 08:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:58
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 09:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.76%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 08:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Novig2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%2.7%2026-05-25 09:00