La escuela de los momios

Alexander Shevchenko v Alex Michelsen

Inicio: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Predicción 38.80%2.58momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -0.686%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.74%38.80%40.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.452.5543.48%40.50%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alex Michelsen (Visitante)

Predicción 61.20%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.910%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.13%61.26%61.20%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.541.6166.67%64.82%64.94%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 08:57
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.06%E -0.417%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:59
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 09:00
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.23%E -0.884%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 08:55
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:56
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 09:00
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 09:00
MyBookie.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.52%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 08:59
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:00
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 09:00
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:58
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 09:00
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.94%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 08:59
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -1.47%E -0.910%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 08:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 09:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:58
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.88%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 09:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 09:00
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 08:59
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.76%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 08:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-25 09:00
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-25 09:00
Novig2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%2.7%2026-05-25 09:00