Language:English
Alexander Bublik v Jan-Lennard Struff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Prediction 76.56%1.31fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.40%76.41%76.59%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.97%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 23.44%4.27fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.312%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.59%23.41%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.954.004.3127.03%25.30%25.00%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Bublik (Local): 76.56%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 23.44%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%EV +1.03%E +0.240%K +0.312%G +0.003% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.372%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 14:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -2.25%E -0.539%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 13:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 13:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.41%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.24%E -0.961%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 13:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 14:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.18% | 2.0% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |