A Escola das Odds

Alexander Bublik v Jan-Lennard Struff

Início: 2026-05-26 14:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexander Bublik (Local)

Previsão 76.56%1.31odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.961%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.40%76.41%76.59%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.97%80.00%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)

Previsão 23.44%4.27odd justa
EV +1.03%
Vantagem +0.240%
Kelly +0.312%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.48%23.59%23.41%25.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.703.954.004.3127.03%25.30%25.00%23.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%EV +1.03%E +0.240%K +0.312%G +0.003%3.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.372%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 14:18
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:50
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:40
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:19
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -2.25%E -0.539%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 13:39
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:10
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:38
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 13:50
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:09
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:09
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:09
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:39
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:09
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 13:40
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:58
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.41%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:50
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:20
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:50
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:40
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:39
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:40
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.24%E -0.961%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 13:39
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:40
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 14:08
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:19
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-26 14:20
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.18%2.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-05-26 14:20