مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexander Bublik v Jan-Lennard Struff

البداية: 2026-05-26 14:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexander Bublik (المضيف)

التنبؤ 76.56%1.31السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.961%
Kelly -4.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.40%76.41%76.59%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.97%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.44%4.27السعر العادل
EV +1.03%
الأفضلية +0.240%
Kelly +0.312%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.48%23.59%23.41%25.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.703.954.004.3127.03%25.30%25.00%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%EV +1.03%E +0.240%K +0.312%G +0.003%3.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.372%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 14:18
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:50
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:40
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:19
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -2.25%E -0.539%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 13:39
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:10
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:38
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 13:50
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:09
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:09
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:09
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:39
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:09
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 13:40
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:58
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.41%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:50
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:20
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:50
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:40
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:39
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:40
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.24%E -0.961%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 13:39
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:40
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 14:08
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:19
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-26 14:20
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.18%2.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-05-26 14:20