L’École des cotes

Alexander Bublik v Jan-Lennard Struff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Bublik (Local)

Prévision 76.56%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.961%
Kelly -4.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.40%76.41%76.59%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.97%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.44%4.27cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.240%
Kelly +0.312%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.48%23.59%23.41%25.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.954.004.3127.03%25.30%25.00%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%EV +1.03%E +0.240%K +0.312%G +0.003%3.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.372%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 14:18
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:50
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:40
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:19
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -2.25%E -0.539%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 13:39
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:10
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:38
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 13:50
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.89%E -0.948%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:09
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:09
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:09
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:39
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:09
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 13:40
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:58
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.41%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:50
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:20
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 13:50
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:40
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:39
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 13:40
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.24%E -0.961%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 13:39
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 13:40
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 14:08
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:19
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-26 14:20
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.18%2.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-05-26 14:20