La scuola delle quote

Alex de Minaur v Toby Samuel

Inizio: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Casa)

Previsione 85.98%1.16quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -3.30%
Kelly -30.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
83.70%86.31%85.53%89.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toby Samuel (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.02%7.13quota equa
EV +33.18%
Vantaggio +3.49%
Kelly +3.90%
Crescita +1.30%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.04%13.69%14.47%16.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.607.076.509.5017.86%14.14%15.38%10.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30%4.9%2026-05-25 09:10
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30%4.9%2026-05-25 09:08
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 89.59%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%9.29I 10.76%NM 10.41%EV +30.24%E +3.25%K +3.65%G +1.10%3.4%2026-05-25 09:10
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +28.98%E +3.15%K +3.53%G +1.02%4.3%2026-05-25 08:59
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +27.57%E +3.03%K +3.40%G +0.939%5.3%2026-05-25 08:59
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +21.97%E +2.52%K +2.85%G +0.627%5.0%2026-05-25 09:01
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.69%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%8.63I 11.59%NM 11.31%EV +20.99%E +2.43%K +2.75%G +0.577%2.5%2026-05-25 08:59
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490%6.1%2026-05-25 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490%6.1%2026-05-25 09:00
BetAnything1.07I 93.46%NM 88.75%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.25%EV +18.32%E +2.17%K +2.46%G +0.451%5.3%2026-05-25 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +17.76%E +2.11%K +2.40%G +0.426%5.4%2026-05-25 09:10
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254%4.1%2026-05-25 09:09
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254%4.1%2026-05-25 09:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +12.29%E +1.53%K +1.75%G +0.216%5.1%2026-05-25 09:11
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 09:06
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 08:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 09:07
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 09:06
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +8.65%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.111%5.5%2026-05-25 09:09
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 09:20
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV -4.81%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:18
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:19
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:19
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:20
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -14.48%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:19
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -18.69%E -3.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:20
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:20
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -21.49%E -3.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 09:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.25%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.75%3.0%2026-05-25 09:20